Paper: arXiv 2510.17393
Authors: Kefan Chen, Hussain Ahmad, Diksha Goel, Claudia Szabo
Abstract
Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently gained popularity in stock trading for their ability to process multimodal financial data. However, most existing methods focus on single-stock trading and lack the capacity to reason over multiple candidates for portfolio construction. Moreover, they typically lack the flexibility to revise their strategies in response to market shifts, limiting their adaptability in real-world trading. To address these challenges, we propose 3S-Trader, a training-free framework that incorporates scoring, strategy, and selection modules for stock portfolio construction. The scoring module summarizes each stock’s recent signals into a concise report covering multiple scoring dimensions, enabling efficient comparison across candidates. The strategy module analyzes historical strategies and overall market conditions to iteratively generate an optimized selection strategy. Based on this strategy, the selection module identifies and assembles a portfolio by choosing stocks with higher scores in relevant dimensions. We evaluate our framework across four distinct stock universes, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) constituents and three sector-specific stock sets. Compared with existing multi-LLM frameworks and time-series-based baselines, 3S-Trader achieves the highest accumulated return of 131.83% on DJIA constituents with a Sharpe ratio of 0.31 and Calmar ratio of 11.84, while also delivering consistently strong results across other sectors.
Complexity vs Empirical Score
- Math Complexity: 2.5/10
- Empirical Rigor: 6.0/10 (capped from 8.0: transaction costs not modelled; see penalty flags)
- Quadrant: Street Traders — practical and empirical, lighter on theory
Why this score: The paper focuses on an LLM-based framework with minimal advanced mathematical modeling, but presents extensive empirical results with specific performance metrics (returns, Sharpe, Calmar) and backtesting across multiple sectors.
Research Flowchart
flowchart TD
A["Research Goal: Adaptive Portfolio Construction using LLMs"] --> B["Data Input: Stock Prices, Financial News, Indicators"]
B --> C{"3S-Trader Framework"}
C --> D["Scoring Module: Summarize & Score Stocks"]
C --> E["Strategy Module: Analyze Market & Optimize"]
C --> F["Selection Module: Assemble Portfolio"]
D --> G["Computational Process: Multi-LLM Reasoning"]
E --> G
F --> G
G --> H["Outcome: High Returns & Sharpe Ratio"]
H --> I["131.83% Return on DJIA (Sharpe 0.31, Calmar 11.84)"]
H --> J["Consistent Performance Across Sectors"]
Cited References (55)
- Portfolio Selection (1952)
- Textual analysis in accounting and finance: A survey (2016)
- Stock market analysis with text data: A review (2021) — link
- Simple Overview of Quantitative Analysis (2022) — link
- Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993) — link
- Giving Content to Investor Sentiment: The Role of Media in the Stock Market (2007) — link
- Fundamental Analysis, Future Earnings, and Stock Prices (1997)
- Stock market prediction via deep learning techniques: A survey — → 2212.12717
and 47 more
- Fingpt: Democratizing internet-scale data for financial large language models (2023) — link
- Financial statement analysis with large language models — → 2407.17866
- Language models are few-shot learners (2020)
- Gpt-4 technical report (2023) — link
- On the opportunities and risks of foundation models (2021) — link
- Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control (1990)
- Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)
- Deep learning with long short-term memory networks for financial market predictions (2018)
- Conditional time series forecasting with convolutional neural networks (2017) — link
- Informer: Beyond efficient transformer for long sequence time-series forecasting (2021)
- Transformer-based deep learning model for stock price prediction: A case study on Bangladesh stock market (2023)
- A multimodal foundation agent for financial trading: Tool-augmented, diversified, and generalist (2024)
- Robust Portfolio Optimization and Management (2007)
- Optimizing cyber defense in dynamic active directories through reinforcement learning (2024)
- Enhancing network resilience through machine learning-powered graph combinatorial optimization: Applications in cyber defense and information diffusion (2023) — link
- Microservice vulnerability analysis: A literature review with empirical insights (2024)
- How many stocks make a diversified portfolio? (1987)
- Co-Evolutionary Defence of Active Directory Attack Graphs via GNN-Approximated Dynamic Programming (2025) — link
- Towards deep learning enabled cybersecurity risk assessment for microservice architectures (2025)
- Machine learning driven smishing detection framework for mobile security (2024) — link
- Resilient Auto-Scaling of Microservice Architectures with Efficient Resource Management (2025) — link
- Towards resource-efficient reactive and proactive auto-scaling for microservice architectures (2025)
- Smart HPA: A resource-efficient horizontal pod auto-scaler for microservice architectures (2024)
- What Skills Do Cyber Security Professionals Need? (2025) — link
- A survey on immersive cyber situational awareness systems (2025)
- Chatnvd: Advancing cybersecurity vulnerability assessment with large language models (2024) — link
- RegimeFolio: A Regime Aware ML System for Sectoral Portfolio Optimization in Dynamic Markets — → 2510.14986
- " I think this is the most disruptive technology": Exploring Sentiments of ChatGPT Early Adopters using Twitter Data (2022) — link
- The future of ai: Exploring the potential of large concept models (2025) — link
- Active portfolio management: a quantitative approach to providing superior returns and controlling risk (2000)
- Deep learning for financial applications: A survey (2020)
- Adaptive and explainable margin trading via large language models on portfolio management (2024)
- Leveraging large language models and prompt settings for context-aware financial sentiment analysis (2024)
- A deep reinforcement learning framework for the financial portfolio management problem (2017) — link
- Reinforcement learning application in portfolio optimization: a comprehensive literature review (2024)
- Deep direct reinforcement learning for financial signal representation and trading (2016)
- Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications (1999)
- Technical Analysis Library in Python (2019)
- TradingAgent: LLMs for Trading via Chain of Thought and Memory (2023) — link
- Long short-term memory (1997)
- Autoformer: Decomposition transformers with auto-correlation for long-term series forecasting (2021)
- FinVision: A Multi-Agent Framework for Stock Market Prediction (2024) — link
- CryptoTrade: A reflective LLM-based agent to guide zero-shot cryptocurrency trading (2024)
- Learning to generate explainable stock predictions using self-reflective large language models — → 2402.03659
- FinBERT: Financial Sentiment Analysis with Pre-trained Language Models (2019)
- Evaluating LLMs’ Mathematical Reasoning in Financial Document Question Answering (2024) — link
- FinVision: A multi-agent framework for stock market prediction (2024)
4 of 55 cited works are in the corpus; resolved via arXiv source bundles, Semantic Scholar and OpenAlex. Corpus-wide: 2518 linked papers.