Paper: arXiv 2508.00554
Authors: Li Zhao, Rui Sun, Zuoyou Jiang, Bo Yang, Yuxiao Bai, Mengting Chen, Xinyang Wang, Jing Li, Zuo Bai
Abstract
In financial trading, large language model (LLM)-based agents demonstrate significant potential. However, the high sensitivity to market noise undermines the performance of LLM-based trading systems. To address this limitation, we propose a novel multi-agent system featuring an internal competitive mechanism inspired by modern corporate management structures. The system consists of two specialized teams: (1) Data Team - responsible for processing and condensing massive market data into diversified text factors, ensuring they fit the model’s constrained context. (2) Research Team - tasked with making parallelized multipath trading decisions based on deep research methods. The core innovation lies in implementing a real-time evaluation and ranking mechanism within each team, driven by authentic market feedback. Each agent’s performance undergoes continuous scoring and ranking, with only outputs from top-performing agents being adopted. The design enables the system to adaptively adjust to dynamic environment, enhances robustness against market noise and ultimately delivers superior trading performance. Experimental results demonstrate that our proposed system significantly outperforms prevailing multi-agent systems and traditional quantitative investment methods across diverse evaluation metrics. ContestTrade is open-sourced on GitHub at https://github.com/FinStep-AI/ContestTrade.
Complexity vs Empirical Score
- Math Complexity: 3.0/10
- Empirical Rigor: 6.0/10 (capped from 8.0: transaction costs only partially modelled; see penalty flags)
- Quadrant: Street Traders — practical and empirical, lighter on theory
Why this score: The paper focuses on a novel architectural design (multi-agent system with contest mechanism) and empirical validation, with the math involved being at a systems-engineering level rather than advanced mathematical finance. The empirical rigor is high due to the reported backtests, open-source code availability on GitHub, and focus on real market data processing and performance metrics.
Research Flowchart
flowchart TD
A["Research Goal: LLM Agents in Trading"] --> B{"Problem: High Sensitivity to Market Noise"};
B --> C["Proposed System: ContestTrade Multi-Agent"];
C --> D["Key Innovation: Internal Contest Mechanism"];
D --> E["Data Team: Process Market Data -> Text Factors"];
D --> F["Research Team: Parallel Trading Decisions"];
E --> G["Real-time Scoring & Ranking via Market Feedback"];
F --> G;
G --> H["Outcome: Top Agent Outputs Adopted"];
H --> I["Final Results: Outperforms SOTA & Traditional Methods"];
Cited References (37)
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- FinGPT: Open-Source Financial Large Language Models — → 2306.06031
- TradingGPT: Multi-Agent System with Layered Memory and Distinct Characters for Enhanced Financial Trading Performance (2023) — link
- Learning to Generate Explainable Stock Predictions using Self-Reflective Large Language Models — → 2402.03659
- QuantAgent: Seeking Holy Grail in Trading by Self-Improving Large Language Model — → 2402.03755
- Alpha-GPT: Human-AI Interactive Alpha Mining for Quantitative Investment — → 2308.00016
- Alpha-GPT 2.0: Human-in-the-Loop AI for Quantitative Investment — → 2402.09746
- FinMem: A Performance-Enhanced LLM Trading Agent with Layered Memory and Character Design (2024) — link
and 29 more
- A Multimodal Foundation Agent for Financial Trading: Tool-Augmented, Diversified, and Generalist (2024) — link
- TradingAgents: Multi-Agents LLM Financial Trading Framework — → 2412.20138
- FINCON: a synthesized LLM multi-agent system with conceptual verbal reinforcement for enhanced financial decision making (2025)
- MASS: Multi-Agent Simulation Scaling for Portfolio Construction (2025) — link
- Generative Agents: Interactive Simulacra of Human Behavior (2023) — link
- React: Synergizing reasoning and acting in language models (2023)
- Toolformer: Language models can teach themselves to use tools (2024)
- DeepSeek-V3 Technical Report (2024) — link
- BloombergGPT: A Large Language Model for Finance (2023) — link
- Large Language Model Agent in Financial Trading: A Survey — → 2408.06361
- QWEN TECHNICAL REPORT (2023) — link
- FinBERT: a pre-trained financial language representation model for financial text mining (2021)
- Can ChatGPT Forecast Stock Price Movements? Return Predictability and Large Language Models — → 2304.07619
- Can Large Language Models Beat Wall Street? Unveiling the Potential of AI in Stock Selection — → 2401.03737
- Unveiling the Potential of Sentiment: Can Large Language Models Predict Chinese Stock Price Movements? — → 2306.14222
- LLMF actor: Extracting Profitable Factors through Prompts for Explainable Stock Movement Prediction (2024) — link
- HAD: Heterogeneous multi-Agent framework for Financial sentiment analysis (2024) — link
- FinRobot: An Open-Source AI Agent Platform for Financial Applications using Large Language Models — → 2405.14767
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- Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of UK Inflation (1982) — link
- Agent-Based Computational Finance (2006)
- ABIDES: Towards High-Fidelity Multi-Agent Market Simulation (2020) — link
- NoLiMa: Long-Context Evaluation Beyond Literal Matching (2025) — link
- Context Rot: How LLMs Degrade with Context (2024)
- GSM-Infinite: How Do your LLMs Behave over Infinitely Increasing Reasoning Complexity and Context Length? (2025) — link
- Lost in the Middle: How Language Models Use Long Contexts (2024) — link
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11 of 37 cited works are in the corpus; resolved via arXiv source bundles, Semantic Scholar and OpenAlex. Corpus-wide: 2518 linked papers.