Paper: arXiv 2502.02619
Abstract
This paper introduces a novel agent-based approach for enhancing existing portfolio strategies using Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO). Rather than focusing solely on traditional portfolio construction, our approach aims to improve an already high-performing strategy through dynamic rebalancing driven by PPO and Oracle agents. Our target is to enhance the traditional 60/40 benchmark (60% stocks, 40% bonds) by employing the Regret-based Sharpe reward function. To address the impact of transaction fee frictions and prevent signal loss, we develop a transaction cost scheduler. We introduce a future-looking reward function and employ synthetic data training through a circular block bootstrap method to facilitate the learning of generalizable allocation strategies. We focus on two key evaluation measures: return and maximum drawdown. Given the high stochasticity of financial markets, we train 20 independent agents each period and evaluate their average performance against the benchmark. Our method not only enhances the performance of the existing portfolio strategy through strategic rebalancing but also demonstrates strong results compared to other baselines.
Complexity vs Empirical Score
- Math Complexity: 7.5/10
- Empirical Rigor: 6.5/10
- Quadrant: Holy Grail — high math complexity, high empirical rigor
Why this score: The paper employs advanced deep reinforcement learning techniques like PPO with custom regret-based reward functions and synthetic data generation, resulting in high mathematical complexity. It demonstrates strong empirical rigor through specific backtest metrics, transaction cost modeling, and robust evaluation across training, validation, and test sets with ablation studies.
Research Flowchart
flowchart TD A["Research Goal<br>Enhance 60/40 Portfolio using<br>Deep Reinforcement Learning"] --> B["Data Input<br>Synthetic Data via<br>Circular Block Bootstrap"] B --> C["Methodology<br>Proximal Policy Optimization<br>with Regret-based Sharpe Reward"] C --> D["Key Innovation<br>Future-Looking Reward &<br>Transaction Cost Scheduler"] D --> E["Computation<br>Train 20 Independent Agents<br>Average Stochastic Performance"] E --> F["Outcomes<br>Enhanced Returns & Reduced<br>Max Drawdown vs. Baselines"] F --> G["Conclusion<br>Effective Dynamic Rebalancing<br>with Strong Generalization"]
Cited References (50)
- Combining Reinforcement Learning and Inverse Reinforcement Learning for Asset Allocation Recommendations — link
- Headline-Driven Classification and Local Interpretation for Market Outperformance and Low-Risk Stock Prediction (2023)
- Machine learning for asset managers (2020)
- It’s a Peoples Game, Isn’t It?! A Comparison Between the Investment Returns of Business Angels and Machine Learning Algorithms (2020) — link
- High-Dimensional Stock Portfolio Trading with Deep Reinforcement Learning — link
- Deep Direct Reinforcement Learning for Financial Signal Representation and Trading — link
- Practical Deep Reinforcement Learning Approach for Stock Trading — link
- Deep Reinforcement Learning for Asset Allocation in US Equities — link
and 42 more
- A Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for the Financial Portfolio Management Problem — link
- Embedded draw-down constraint reward function for deep reinforcement learning — link
- Headline-Driven Classification and Local Interpretation for Market Outperformance and Low-Risk Stock Prediction — link
- Combining deep reinforcement learning with technical analysis and trend monitoring on cryptocurrency markets (2023)
- Bridging the gap between Markowitz planning and deep reinforcement learning (2020) — link
- Embedded draw-down constraint reward function for deep reinforcement learning (2022)
- Deep reinforcement learning for asset allocation in us equities (2020) — link
- Evaluation of Deep Reinforcement Learning Algorithms for Portfolio Optimisation — → 2307.07694
- Detecting and adapting to crisis pattern with context based Deep Reinforcement Learning (2021)
- Generative adversarial imitation learning (2016)
- Learning Robust Rewards with Adversarial Inverse Reinforcement Learning (2018) — link
- Remarks on some nonparametric estimates of a density function (2011)
- A deep reinforcement learning framework for the financial portfolio management problem (2017) — link
- High-dimensional stock portfolio trading with deep reinforcement learning (2022)
- Deep reinforcement trading with predictable returns (2023)
- Deep reinforcement learning based multi-objective systems for financial trading (2020)
- Multi-objective reward generalization: improving performance of Deep Reinforcement Learning for applications in single-asset trading (2024)
- Recent advances in reinforcement learning in finance (2023)
- Review of multi-criteria decision-making methods in finance using explainable artificial intelligence (2022)
- An adaptive portfolio trading system: A risk-return portfolio optimization using recurrent reinforcement learning with expected maximum drawdown (2017)
- Measuring regret theory in the health and financial domain (2023)
- A deep Q-learning portfolio management framework for the cryptocurrency market (2020)
- A deep reinforcement learning approach for automated cryptocurrency trading (2019)
- Copula models in machine learning (2015)
- ARCH: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity models in Python (2023) — link
- Human-level control through deep reinforcement learning (2015)
- Proximal policy optimization algorithms (2017) — link
- Mastering the game of Go with deep neural networks and tree search (2016)
- Reinforcement learning: An introduction (2018)
- Portfolio Selection (1952)
- Investor-imitator: A framework for trading knowledge extraction (2018)
- A modified CTGAN-plus-features-based method for optimal asset allocation — → 2302.02269
- A synthetic data-plus-features driven approach for portfolio optimization (2023)
- Deep Reinforcement Learning for Optimal Portfolio Allocation: A Comparative Study with Mean-Variance Optimization (2023)
- Credit spreads and business cycle fluctuations (2012)
- The investor fear gauge (2000)
- The price of correlation risk: Evidence from equity options (2009)
- Curriculum learning (2009)
- Curriculum learning in deep neural networks for financial forecasting (2020)
- Drawdown measure in portfolio optimization (2005)
- Smart “predict, then optimize” (2022)
- Smart predict-and-optimize for hard combinatorial optimization problems (2020)
2 of 50 cited works are in the corpus; resolved via arXiv source bundles, Semantic Scholar and OpenAlex. Corpus-wide: 2518 linked papers.