Paper: arXiv 2506.19856
Authors: Ryan Samson, Adrian Banner, Luca Candelori, Sebastien Cottrell, Tiziana Di Matteo, Paul Duchnowski, Vahagn Kirakosyan, Jose Marques, Kharen Musaelian, Stefano Pasquali, Ryan Stever, Dario Villani
Abstract
We introduce a novel proxy for firm linkages, Characteristic Vector Linkages (CVLs). We use this concept to estimate firm linkages, first through Euclidean similarity, and then by applying Quantum Cognition Machine Learning (QCML) to similarity learning. We demonstrate that both methods can be used to construct profitable momentum spillover trading strategies, but QCML similarity outperforms the simpler Euclidean similarity.
Complexity vs Empirical Score
- Math Complexity: 8.5/10
- Empirical Rigor: 6.0/10 (capped from 7.0: transaction costs not modelled; see penalty flags)
- Quadrant: Holy Grail — high math complexity, high empirical rigor
Why this score: The paper employs advanced mathematics, including quantum cognition machine learning with Hilbert spaces and Hermitian operators, scoring high on complexity. It demonstrates backtest-ready empirical results on constructing profitable momentum spillover strategies, with detailed methodology and performance comparison, indicating strong empirical rigor.
Research Flowchart
flowchart TD A["Research Goal:<br>Estimate Firm Linkages"] --> B["Data: Firm Characteristics"] B --> C["Methodology 1:<br>Euclidean Similarity"] B --> D["Methodology 2:<br>QCML Similarity Learning"] C --> E["Trading Strategy:<br>Momentum Spillover"] D --> E E --> F["Outcome:<br>Profitable Strategies"] F --> G["Key Finding:<br>QCML Outperforms Euclidean"]
Cited References (57)
- Shared analyst coverage: Unifying momentum spillover effects (2020) — link
- Machine Learning for Active Portfolio Management (2021) — link
- The relationship between earnings’ yield, market value and return for NYSE common stocks: Further evidence (1983) — link
- Geometry of Quantum States: An Introduction to Quantum Entanglement (2006) — link
- Debt/Equity Ratio and Expected Common Stock Returns: Empirical Evidence (1988) — link
- Robust estimation of the intrinsic dimension of data sets with quantum cognition machine learning (2025) — link
- Economic Links and Predictable Returns (2008) — link
- Implied Equity Duration: A New Measure of Equity Risk (2004) — link
and 49 more
- Value-Glamour and Accruals Mispricing: One Anomaly or Two? (2004)
- A meta-analysis of supervised and unsupervised machine learning algorithms and their application to active portfolio management (2025) — link
- Do investors overvalue firms with bloated balance sheets? (2004) — link
- Replicating Anomalies (2020) — link
- Matrix geometry and coherent states (2015) — link
- Is There a Replication Crisis in Finance? (2023) — link
- Supervised similarity learning for corporate bonds using Random Forest proximities (2022) — link
- Taxable Income, Future Earnings, and Equity Values (2004) — link
- Do Industries Explain Momentum? (1999) — link
- Quantum Cognition Machine Learning: \uppercase AI Needs Quantum (2024)
- On Spectral Clustering: Analysis and an algorithm (2001) — link
- Quantum Computation and Quantum Information (2000)
- Real Asset Illiquidity and the Cost of Capital (2014)
- Cash holdings, risk, and expected returns (2012) — link
- Geographic Lead-Lag Effects (2020) — link
- The Book-to-Price Effect in Stock Returns: Accounting for Leverage (2007)
- Does Corporate Headquarters Location Matter for Stock Returns? (2006) — link
- Quantum Cognition (2022) — link
- Accrual reliability, earnings persistence and stock prices (2005) — link
- Supervised Similarity for High-Yield Bonds (2025) — link
- Persuasive evidence of market inefficiency (1985) — link
- Quantum Cognition Machine Learning: financial forecasting (2024) — link
- Do Stock Prices Fully Reflect Information in Accruals and Cash Flows about Future Earnings? (1996) — link
- Geometric Measures of Quantum Correlations with Bures and Hellinger Distances (2017) — link
- Corporate Real Estate Holdings and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns (2010) — link
- Company Similarity using Large Language Models (2023) — link
- Introduction to Latent Variable Energy-Based Models: A Path Towards Autonomous Machine Intelligence (2022)
- LinkedIn posts (2023-2024)
- Quantum Models of Cognition and Decision (2012) — link
- Applications of Quantum Statistics in Psychological Studies of Decision Processes (1995) — link
- Quantum-like brain: “Interference of minds” (2006) — link
- Quantamentals: Refining Short Interest (March 2010)
- Signal Processing: The long and the short of it (January 2011)
- The Interaction of Value and Momentum Strategies (1997)
- Empirical Asset Pricing via Machine Learning (2020) — link
- The relationship between return and market value of common stocks (1981) — link
- Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993) — link
- CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK (1964) — link
- Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency (1993) — link
- On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance (1997) — link
- Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests (1973) — link
- New Evidence on the Relation between the Enterprise Multiple and Average Stock Returns (2011) — link
- Do Sales–Price and Debt–Equity Explain Stock Returns Better than Book–Market and Firm Size? (1996) — link
- The Use of Dupont Analysis by Market Participants (2007) — link
- Predicting Stock Returns Using Industry-Relative Firm Characteristics (2000) — link
- Low-Risk Investing without Industry Bets (2014) — link
- Batch Normalization: Accelerating Deep Network Training by Reducing Internal Covariate Shift (2015) — link
- What is the best multi-stage architecture for object recognition? (2009) — link
- Rectified Linear Units Improve Restricted Boltzmann Machines (2010) — link
0 of 57 cited works are in the corpus; resolved via arXiv source bundles, Semantic Scholar and OpenAlex. Corpus-wide: 2518 linked papers.